World Cup 2026 Forecast Odds

Title odds & round-by-round probabilities

Title odds and round-by-round reach probabilities for all 48 teams. Activate a row to trace that team through the bracket.

Swipe sideways to see all rounds ->

#	Team	Grp	Elo	Group finish			Reaches
#	Team	Grp	Elo	1st	2nd	3rd	R32	R16	QF	SF	Final	Win
1	France	I	2182	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	89%	64%	40%	25.4%
2	Argentina	J	2148	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	84%	59%	36%	19.3%
3	Spain	H	2153	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	61%	44%	24%	14.2%
4	England	L	2114	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	69%	41%	23%	11.0%
5	Brazil	C	2085	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	68%	35%	18%	8.1%
6	Morocco	C	2026	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	100%	34%	14%	5.9%
7	Portugal	K	2077	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	39%	25%	11%	5.2%
8	Colombia	K	2015	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	57%	22%	9.1%	3.3%
9	Belgium	G	1993	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	54%	17%	5.8%	2.2%
10	Mexico	A	1978	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	31%	13%	4.7%	1.5%
11	United States	D	1966	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	46%	13%	4.2%	1.4%
12	Switzerland	B	1962	100%	0%	0%	100%	100%	43%	13%	4.7%	1.3%
13	Norway	I	1954	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	32%	11%	3.8%	1.1%
14	Egypt	G	1864	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	16%	5.4%	1.3%	0.2%
15	Paraguay	D	1814	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%	11%	2.5%	0.4%	0.1%
16	Algeria	J	1876	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
17	Australia	D	1817	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
18	Austria	J	1863	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
19	Bosnia & Herzegovina	B	1775	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
20	Canada	B	1806	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
21	Côte d'Ivoire	E	1900	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
22	DR Congo	K	1826	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
23	Cape Verde	H	1706	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
24	Croatia	L	1951	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
25	Ecuador	E	1922	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
26	Germany	E	2092	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
27	Ghana	L	1762	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
28	Japan	F	1950	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
29	Netherlands	F	2085	100%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
30	South Africa	A	1713	0%	100%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
31	Senegal	I	1939	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
32	Sweden	F	1859	0%	0%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
33	Curaçao	E	1555	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
34	Czechia	A	1826	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
35	Haiti	C	1623	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
36	Iran	G	1787	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
37	Iraq	I	1638	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
38	Jordan	J	1672	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
39	South Korea	A	1891	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
40	Saudi Arabia	H	1700	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
41	New Zealand	G	1630	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
42	Panama	L	1696	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
43	Qatar	B	1550	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
44	Scotland	C	1774	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
45	Tunisia	F	1663	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
46	Türkiye	D	1897	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
47	Uruguay	H	1949	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%
48	Uzbekistan	K	1677	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0%